// bitcoin cycle analysis — feb 2026

The 1065-Day Clock
& the Flattening Bottom

Log-scale angle decay model + eerily consistent cycle timing

// corrected oct 2026 bottom target
~$25–30K
Central estimate: ~$27,000
Based on visual log-scale angle matching
from Nov 2022 bottom ($15,476)
Drawdown from ATH: ~78–80%
// bottom-to-top timing (3 cycles)
1065
Jan 2015 → Dec 2017: 1,066 days
Dec 2018 → Nov 2021: 1,064 days
Nov 2022 → Oct 2025: ~1,065 days
Variance: < 2 days 🤯
cycle 2 // 2013–2015
TopNov 30, 2013 · $1,127
→ BottomJan 14, 2015 · $172
Top→Bottom~410 days
Bottom→Top~1,066 days
Drawdown−84.7%
cycle 3 // 2017–2018
TopDec 16, 2017 · $19,665
→ BottomDec 15, 2018 · $3,128
Top→Bottom~364 days
Bottom→Top~1,064 days
Drawdown−84.1%
cycle 4 // 2021–2022
TopNov 10, 2021 · $69,000
→ BottomNov 21, 2022 · $15,476
Top→Bottom~376 days
Bottom→Top~1,065 days
Drawdown−77.6%
cycle 5 // 2025–2026 ★ projected
TopOct 2025 · $126,000
→ BottomOct 2026 · ~$27K?
Top→Bottom~365 days
Bottom→Top~1,065 days?
Drawdown−78.6% est.
THE 1065-DAY PHENOMENON: In exactly 3 consecutive cycles, Bitcoin has taken within 2 days of 1,065 days to travel from bottom to top. Jan'15→Dec'17 = 1,066d · Dec'18→Nov'21 = 1,064d · Nov'22→Oct'25 = ~1,065d. If this pattern holds, the next top would arrive around Aug–Sep 2027 (~1065 days from an Oct'26 bottom). Top-to-bottom has averaged ~383 days (410 / 364 / 376).
// log-scale price + cycle trendlines + $27K projection
// top→bottom duration (days)
// bottom→top duration (days)
// bear market drawdown % from ATH per cycle

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE · PATTERN ANALYSIS ONLY · BTC IS HIGHLY VOLATILE · DYOR